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Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Petronas Chemical ====> just off the starting block
The chart above is for Petronas Chemical, which is just listed in BursaMalayisa on 26th November 2010.
This counter attracts institutional investors and has so far displayed great resilience when it is traded above the institutional IPO price of RM5.20. The weaker institutional investors would have sold off at least part of their holding and the resilience may be due to the stronger institutional investors still willing to accumulate on weakness. This counter is very liquid as it has eight (8) billion shares issued. coupled with the recent IPO there is ample free floating shares ready to find stronger hands.
From the chart above there is a possibility of a temporary double top at RM6.39 and a support at RM 5.93.
Also to be noted is that it is trading within an uptrend channel. Since it is now near the lower side of the uptrend channel and near to the support of RM5.93 it maybe good and possible to buy at below RM 6 so that a profit can be made if it goes up and away from the lower channel.It may move up to challenge the double top at RM6.39. If it fails to break through RM6.39 then it should be sold, otherwise if RM6.39 is successfully penetrated it can go higher and the wisdom is to let the profit run.
Another possibility is that it may go below the support line. If this happens a stop out will have to be executed say at RM5.80
The above is just my guess.
For those who had viewed the previous chart and read my comment may like an update. It looks very much like the double-top may be challenged soon as the price is pulling away from the lower channel support line.
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
Boustead a good dividend paymaster
National Geographic
Boustead is a good dividend paymaster. It pays dividend quarterly and the last dividend of 12 cents tax free was paid on 30th December 2010. I expect Boustead to pay another dividend in March 2011.The price has appreciated quite a lot and currently it has gone into a consolidation stage. Currently it is trading at about RM5.50 which may be an opportunity if the consolidation is about to end. If we look at the support line it is now sitting at the immediate support line and if this support is broken down on further consolidation it may drop to a level near to RM4.92. My opinion is that at RM4.92 it has good value and I will buy it for investment.
The above Boustead chart is added to highlight a crucial moment. Crucial because today (8th Feb 2011) it close at RM6,03 which barely broke through the resistance, with good volume. Tomorrow will be even more crucial because if the strength of Boustead maintain its upward momentum and close even higher than RM6.03 (with volume) then RM6 will be the new support level and the price will go higher from here otherwise if the closing price on 9th February 2011 is below RM6.03 then it is a failed breakthrough. So open your eyes wide tomorrow.
Boustead is a good dividend paymaster. It pays dividend quarterly and the last dividend of 12 cents tax free was paid on 30th December 2010. I expect Boustead to pay another dividend in March 2011.The price has appreciated quite a lot and currently it has gone into a consolidation stage. Currently it is trading at about RM5.50 which may be an opportunity if the consolidation is about to end. If we look at the support line it is now sitting at the immediate support line and if this support is broken down on further consolidation it may drop to a level near to RM4.92. My opinion is that at RM4.92 it has good value and I will buy it for investment.
The above Boustead chart is added to highlight a crucial moment. Crucial because today (8th Feb 2011) it close at RM6,03 which barely broke through the resistance, with good volume. Tomorrow will be even more crucial because if the strength of Boustead maintain its upward momentum and close even higher than RM6.03 (with volume) then RM6 will be the new support level and the price will go higher from here otherwise if the closing price on 9th February 2011 is below RM6.03 then it is a failed breakthrough. So open your eyes wide tomorrow.
Thursday, January 20, 2011
Keck Seng may be worth looking at now
In August 2010 Keck Seng accepted the general offer of Parkway shares and made some RM260 million gain.
On 30th November 2010 Keck Seng proposed a one (1) bonus share for two (2) shares held.
Upon announcement share price gap up and eventually hit the upper limit at RM7 of the uptrend channel.
Thereafter, its price went into consolidation which I think is partly due to the sale of 134,100 treasury shares in the open market from 13th January 2011 to 19th January 2011. Will there be any further sale? Your guess is as good as mine because Keck Seng still has 1,840,300 treasury shares. If the sale were to continue there will be further weakness. The weakness may be a blessing in disguise because this may give opportunity for me to accumulate some so that I can hold them to enjoy the bonus issue which is to be completed by first quarter of 2011.The current price is RM6.42 and a good entry may be RM6.30 and if this cannot hold RM6 will be a better entry.
Keck Seng is a well managed company and holds some valuable assets like 4.9 million shares in PPB Group and 2.8 million shares in Chin Teck Plantations
The above Keck Seng Chart is just added (8th February 2011) to view how the consolidation as I mentioned above has panned out. The consolidation, according to my opinion, has taken its course and has thus formed a base for the next upward move. RM6.34 is now the immediate support should the upward move fail to take off. I just bought at RM6.62 for a long to medium term ride otherwise if I am proven wrong I intend to stop out at RM6.34 for a 4.5% potential loss.. If the ride up is in my favour I will watch for the RSI to hit above 70 before contemplating to take profit. | |||||
Monday, January 10, 2011
Can Maybank scale new heights?
Malayan Banking Bhd (Maybank) is acquiring a 44.63% controlling stake in Singapore-listed stockbroking firm Kim Eng Holdings Ltd in an all cash deal worth S$798.44 million (RM1.9 billion) ..This has brought Maybank to the attention of more investors and has since came out the consolidation at RM8.50 level.
Maybank chart above shows that it is following the uptrend channel and after a good spike it is in consolidation mood right now. My guess is to watch out for the price to weaken a little further, say below RM8.80 level to accumulate and sell it if the price hit the upper channel into the future
Maybank chart above shows that it is following the uptrend channel and after a good spike it is in consolidation mood right now. My guess is to watch out for the price to weaken a little further, say below RM8.80 level to accumulate and sell it if the price hit the upper channel into the future
Thursday, January 6, 2011
Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK) deserves a hard look, now
Crude palm oil (CPO) price is rising in tandem with Crude Oil price. Arising from there, KLK has a good revaluation by investors recently. KLK is well managed and is at the moment in the right sector of rubber and CPO, which both enjoy buoyant commodity prices currently.
From the chart above, the initial climb is more gradual following the long term support line of S1S2.
Recently, it went over-drive to form a steeper uptrend channel C1C2, with a small hook down now.
With this chart formation, it will be an opportunity to enter a buy order around RM21.90, shown by the horizontal support line. Batu Kawan is a cheaper proxy to KLK. In terms dividend yield Batu Kawan is superior but it has lower market liquidity. (you may refer to an earlier posting on Batu Kawan on 26th December 2010)
From the chart above, the initial climb is more gradual following the long term support line of S1S2.
Recently, it went over-drive to form a steeper uptrend channel C1C2, with a small hook down now.
With this chart formation, it will be an opportunity to enter a buy order around RM21.90, shown by the horizontal support line. Batu Kawan is a cheaper proxy to KLK. In terms dividend yield Batu Kawan is superior but it has lower market liquidity. (you may refer to an earlier posting on Batu Kawan on 26th December 2010)
Monday, January 3, 2011
PPB Group. Time for it to undo the overdone?
PPB Group was beaten down partly due to the poor performance of Wilmar. PPB Group owns 18.4% of Wilmar which is listed in Singapore and now it is trading at a depressed price of about S$5.51 from the recent peak of S$7.14. The latest significant drop in Wilmar's profit will no doubt adversely affect PPB Group bottomline but I believe that PPB Group will still enjoy a very profitable year.. Anyway, without the problem of reduced Wilmar's contribution, PPB Group will not be trading at a discount to the recent peak of RM19.58 (refer to chart above)
Next, we need to look at the second chart for any sign that this counter is about to turn up.
There is a golden cross formation at MACD few days back (28 December 2010)
Both RSI and Stochastic are hooking up, which suggest that this counter is about to move up at least temporarily. The 50% Fibonacci retracement is at RM18.10, which is the immediate resistance and once penetrated it will probably move up to the 38.2% retracement which is at RM18.45
It should be an opportunity to buy at least some when you see weakness say around RM17.30 or even RM17.40
Next, we need to look at the second chart for any sign that this counter is about to turn up.
There is a golden cross formation at MACD few days back (28 December 2010)
Both RSI and Stochastic are hooking up, which suggest that this counter is about to move up at least temporarily. The 50% Fibonacci retracement is at RM18.10, which is the immediate resistance and once penetrated it will probably move up to the 38.2% retracement which is at RM18.45
It should be an opportunity to buy at least some when you see weakness say around RM17.30 or even RM17.40
Saturday, January 1, 2011
Bursa Malaysia looks like about to turn up
The chart shows that Bursa has a good chance to at least turn up in the short term fom here.
This counter is co-related to the volume of the market. As the market is having good volume lately there is a good chance for this counter to turn up at least for the short term.
The three (3) arrows shown in the MACD, RSI and Stochastic chart seem to confirm that what I observe is true. MACD is about to form the golden cross and both RSI and Stochastic are in the lower area.
So it will be a good strategy to buy on weakness from now and sell it off when it hit the resistance shown by the upper parallel line.
This Bursa chart is added on 19.1.2010. It is a holiday to commemorate Thaipusam, so I am free to look at the chart I posted on 30th December 2010.
The price of Bursa has so far performed well from the day I suggested and now has started to turn down.
In fact it pierced through the upper resistance line then only it started to consolidate.
From now on, will there be a buying opportunity? To find the answer let us look at the Fibonacci retracement.
Right now it has retraced 78.6% (@RM8.72). The next retracement is at 50% (@RM8.32) and if this break down it may retrace to 38.2% (@RM8.16)
So, my suggestion is for those who has higher risk tolerance level can start to accumulate at around RM8.32 (50% retracement) and those with lower risk tolerance level can accumulate at RM8.16 (38.2%)
This opportunity will only presents itself if the retracement reaches these levels.
Anyway, stock market is fraught with uncertainties and without uncertainty stock market will not be so complex.and challenging.
Sunday, December 26, 2010
Batu Kawan is a cheaper proxy to Kuala Kepong
Between 15th October 2010 (Friday) and 18th October 2010 (Monday) Batu Kawan formed a gap up from 15 to 15.30 with a relatively large volume which is shown in the chart above. This is partly because on 14th October 2010 CIMB Investment Bank published a very rosy picture of Batu Kawan as a potential privatisation candidate and attach a value of 18.02 to Batu Kawan.
There on, this counter has a fair bit of fluctuations and went on to form a bear divergence. with both MACD and RSI. This bear divergence push it to a mild correction (which suggest strength) on smaller volume.
At the moment it is traded cum dividend. The 50 sen single tier dividend will only go ex on 22nd February 2011. So there is ample opportunity to accumulate Batu Kawan now. Not only the investor will enjoy a handsome dividend but also can ride on the strength of an up trend journey.
Another important point is, Batu Kawan holds 45.65% of issued shares of Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK). KLK's closing price on 24th December 2010 is 21.78. On a very conservation estimate of just taking the worth of 45.65% of KLK at 21.78, Batu Kawan is worth more than 24.
So if anyone is thinking of investing in KLK, Batu Kawan is much cheaper proxy to investing in KLK..
Friday, December 24, 2010
AEON on consolidation path
I posted AEON chart on 23 December 2010, suggesting that it is about to have short term weakness . True enough, on 24 December there was a spike down from the previous close of 6.24 to 5.82 with a small volume.. It closed at 6.10 for a 19 sen loss which is equivalent to 2.9% decrease. I think that the correction of AEON is not over yet and those who wish to invest in AEON should wait for a while longer.
For those who have invested at lower level should sell on strength as you have a good chance to buy back lower.
As usual, if you use what is written above to buy or sell the risks and rewadrs are entirely yours as only the opinion is mine. Best of luck from me.
For those who have invested at lower level should sell on strength as you have a good chance to buy back lower.
As usual, if you use what is written above to buy or sell the risks and rewadrs are entirely yours as only the opinion is mine. Best of luck from me.
Thursday, December 23, 2010
Take profit on AEON
AEON is at the top of an uptrend channel.
My guess is to take profit now and buy back later.
There is a bearish divergence, which is a confirmation that it has a short term weakness.
My guess is to take profit now and buy back later.
There is a bearish divergence, which is a confirmation that it has a short term weakness.
Daiboci at turning point
Daibochi chart as at 23rd December 2010.
Currently the price is 2.55
Daibochi is at a turning point. which may presents an opportunity for traders who wish to trade short term
It has broke through the S1S2 support line and is on downtrend following D1D2.
It is about to touch D1D2 and traders can buy now to ride the correction for it to reach the upper parallel line of D1D2.
If you are lucky to buy at this price you can look forward to sell higher for a profit.
Ultimately it should move up to slightly above RM3 level.
Currently the price is 2.55
Daibochi is at a turning point. which may presents an opportunity for traders who wish to trade short term
It has broke through the S1S2 support line and is on downtrend following D1D2.
It is about to touch D1D2 and traders can buy now to ride the correction for it to reach the upper parallel line of D1D2.
If you are lucky to buy at this price you can look forward to sell higher for a profit.
Ultimately it should move up to slightly above RM3 level.
Thursday, December 2, 2010
Boustead has value for investors and has excitement for traders
The Boustead chart above is captured on 2nd December 2010.
Current price is about 5.50
Even at this price I think, it is still a good long term buy for investors who fancy stocks that pay attractive dividend on a regular basis. It has just declared a single tier 12 sen dividend which will go ex on 14th December 2010. This is the third dividend declared in as many quarters. First and second quarter dividends are 5 sen (single tier) and 10 sen (single tier) respectively making a total of 27 sen dividend so far. I expect Boustead will declare a final dividend in 3 months time.
Chartwise it has climbed from about 4.29 level (24 Sept 2010) to a recent peak of 6.05 (26 Oct 2010)
On 24 th November 2010 it had retraced slightly more than 50% to 5.08.
Currently it resumes its uptrend move . It should be able to go higher from here and if the 6.05 level of resistance is broken it may climb even higher
The above opinion is mine and if ever you use the info for investment or trading you need to take you own risk..
Thursday, November 25, 2010
Wednesday, November 10, 2010
Oriental Food Industries may be bottom forming now
The chart above is captured from Chartnexus for Oriental Food on 10th November 2010.
There are two vertical lines showing the two peaks (higher high) showing an uptrend.
These two peaks are formed about six (6) months apart. [first peak on 13th January 2010 and the second higher peak on 23 July 2010]
Another set of Fibonacci Retracement lines are inserted to guage the current state of correction.
If we take the last upswing to start from 25th May 2010 (0% at 1.38) to 23.July 2010 (100% at 2.19) the current (10th November 2010) Fibonacci Retracement level is about 38.2%.
My guess is as follows:
1. Possibly the current level is the bottom building stage. However if this fails to hold the next Fibonacci Retracement level is at 23.6% and it sits at 1.57 (price level)
2. If this bottom building take about six (6) months, the next peak may occur around January 2011.
3. So if you believe that this study is of any value, it will be profitable to accumulate at this level (~ 1.70) and sell your accumulation of this counter sometime in January 2011 at a higher level.
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Written by Lee Huong Sing
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Take a look at AEON
The chart above is from Chartnexus taken on 2nd November 2010
The counter under review is AEON.
Malaysian Stock Market has done well this year with FBMKLCI overshooting 1500 level. With this high level it is getting more difficult to trade profitably as the risk factor gets bigger.. .
I have a look at AEON today and found that it started to trend up from 27th August 2010 starting a around 5.10 level. It went on to form a short-term double-top on 1st October 2010 and 6th October 2010 at 6.10. On 7th October 2010 a was big sell down, probably by a big investor. Since then it goes downtrend.
Checking with Fibonacci retracement at 50% the price is at 5.56. It has since pierced through and currently trading around 5.50. The next Fibonacci retracenment of 38.2% is at 5.43.
With this analysis I believe that it is now at bottom building stage. It may be a profitable move to accumulate at this level or lower and hopefully that it turn in a profit on selling at a higher level in one or two months from now.
This is my personal view and if you trade using my view I wish you best of luck.
Lee Huong Sing
The counter under review is AEON.
Malaysian Stock Market has done well this year with FBMKLCI overshooting 1500 level. With this high level it is getting more difficult to trade profitably as the risk factor gets bigger.. .
I have a look at AEON today and found that it started to trend up from 27th August 2010 starting a around 5.10 level. It went on to form a short-term double-top on 1st October 2010 and 6th October 2010 at 6.10. On 7th October 2010 a was big sell down, probably by a big investor. Since then it goes downtrend.
Checking with Fibonacci retracement at 50% the price is at 5.56. It has since pierced through and currently trading around 5.50. The next Fibonacci retracenment of 38.2% is at 5.43.
With this analysis I believe that it is now at bottom building stage. It may be a profitable move to accumulate at this level or lower and hopefully that it turn in a profit on selling at a higher level in one or two months from now.
This is my personal view and if you trade using my view I wish you best of luck.
Lee Huong Sing
Wednesday, October 27, 2010
KSL Holdings (buy call by HLIB Research)
Strong earnings growth, grossly undervalued
§ Large landbank in Iskandar Malaysia (IDR) makes KSL poised to benefit from improving Singapore-Malaysia ties and the integrated resorts in Singapore.
§ Has one of the highest margins in the industry due to its unique business model of keeping construction works in-house, efficiently use of landbank and low land acquisition cost.
§ Under-researched company.
§ Step-up in earnings driven by new flagship Bandar Bestari project in Klang.
§ Stable and recurring earnings from KSL City mall and hotel, on top of bread and butter Johor townships.
§ We forecast 44% earnings growth for FY11 based on assumption of 40% project margin.
§ Price target of RM2.43 per share is based on 30% discount to RNAV. This implies potential capital appreciation of 50%.
Thursday, October 21, 2010
ECM keeps 'sell' call on Puncak Niaga
ECM Libra Investment Research has maintained the "sell" call on Puncak Niaga Holdings Bhd, amid cash flow problems due to a non-water tariff revision of 37 per cent, and a hazy outlook to a resolution of the protracted Selangor water restructuring exercise.
ECM Libra Investment said it made no changes to its estimates pending the outcome of the tender by Puncak Niaga for a water supply and treatment project in India.
Puncak Niaga yesterday entered into two separate joint venture agreements with P&C Constructions (P) Ltd in India to jointly bid for the water supply and flourosis mitigation project, called the Tamilnadu Water Supply and Drainage Board in India.
Puncak Niaga together with P&C would form a joint venture (JV) called PNHB-P&C Joint Venture (PPJV) to bid for Packages III and V of the Hogenakkal project for the Dharmapuri and Krishnagiri districts.
Puncak Niaga will lead the joint venture with a 60 per cent stake, with the remaining 40 per cent held by P&C.
The Hogenakkal Water Supply project is valued at RM1.4 billion, comprising five packages to be undertaken in two phases, with completion expected by December 2012.
The project also comes with a five-year operation and maintenance period.
"Based on our preliminary estimates, Package III and Package V, which are for the laying of pipelines for a total of 6,117km, could be worth approximately RM756 million.
"The five year operation and maintenance is estimated to be worth about RM124.9 million," ECM Libra Investment said.
It said the project is in line with Puncak Niaga's efforts to expand its presence in India.
Puncak Niaga had entered into joint venture agreement with P&C in August 2010 to jointly participate in an international competitive tender for a pipeline project in Mangalore, India. -- Bernama
Read more: ECM keeps 'sell' call on Puncak Niaga http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIMES/articles/20101021133644/Article/index_html#ixzz130gJpV1t
ECM Libra Investment said it made no changes to its estimates pending the outcome of the tender by Puncak Niaga for a water supply and treatment project in India.
Puncak Niaga yesterday entered into two separate joint venture agreements with P&C Constructions (P) Ltd in India to jointly bid for the water supply and flourosis mitigation project, called the Tamilnadu Water Supply and Drainage Board in India.
Puncak Niaga together with P&C would form a joint venture (JV) called PNHB-P&C Joint Venture (PPJV) to bid for Packages III and V of the Hogenakkal project for the Dharmapuri and Krishnagiri districts.
The Hogenakkal Water Supply project is valued at RM1.4 billion, comprising five packages to be undertaken in two phases, with completion expected by December 2012.
The project also comes with a five-year operation and maintenance period.
"Based on our preliminary estimates, Package III and Package V, which are for the laying of pipelines for a total of 6,117km, could be worth approximately RM756 million.
"The five year operation and maintenance is estimated to be worth about RM124.9 million," ECM Libra Investment said.
It said the project is in line with Puncak Niaga's efforts to expand its presence in India.
Puncak Niaga had entered into joint venture agreement with P&C in August 2010 to jointly participate in an international competitive tender for a pipeline project in Mangalore, India. -- Bernama
Read more: ECM keeps 'sell' call on Puncak Niaga http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIMES/articles/20101021133644/Article/index_html#ixzz130gJpV1t
Thursday, October 14, 2010
Batu Kawan 'compelling privatization target'
Batu Kawan Bhd, the biggest shareholder in Malaysian palm oil producer Kuala Lumpur Kepong Bhd, is a “compelling privatization target” and its shares could be worth RM18.02 each, according to CIMB Investment Bank Bhd.
Shares of Batu Kawan are trading at a “hefty” 40 per cent discount to the share price estimate at CIMB, analyst Ivy Ng Lee Fang said in a report today.
Batu Kawan’s stake in Kuala Lumpur Kepong is worth 56 per cent more than the company’s market value, Ng said.
The stock climbed 3.4 per cent to RM14 at 9:26 a.m. in Kuala Lumpur trading, set for a record close. -- Bloomberg
Shares of Batu Kawan are trading at a “hefty” 40 per cent discount to the share price estimate at CIMB, analyst Ivy Ng Lee Fang said in a report today.
Batu Kawan’s stake in Kuala Lumpur Kepong is worth 56 per cent more than the company’s market value, Ng said.
The stock climbed 3.4 per cent to RM14 at 9:26 a.m. in Kuala Lumpur trading, set for a record close. -- Bloomberg
Saturday, October 9, 2010
Glomac "Eye on Stock" by K. M. Lee
AFTER breaching the most recent peak of RM1.57 on Thursday, Glomac shares extended the upward thrust to achieve a 38-month high of RM1.66 during intra-day session amid follow-through buying momentum yesterday.
Based on the daily bar chart, the bulls are now running on a new recovery track after undergoing a period of correction earlier of the year. Perhaps, investors can consider taking up a position, if one is optimistic of additional gains in the immediate term.
The daily slow-stochastic momentum index was positive, with the oscillator per cent K and the oscillator per cent D marching steadily towards the bullish territory.
Likewise, the 14-day relative strength index climbed from the mid-range earlier of the week to end at around the 83 points level yesterday.
Elsewhere, the daily moving average convergence/divergence histogram resumed the upward expansion against the daily trigger line to stay bullish. It flashed a buy in mid-September.
Technically, indicators suggest more scaling in the pipeline. If prices can penetrate the RM1.73-RM1.75 heavy resistance band, the next upside objective to look for would be the RM2-RM2.10 level.
Concrete support floor is pegged at the 14-day simple moving average of RM1.53.
Based on the daily bar chart, the bulls are now running on a new recovery track after undergoing a period of correction earlier of the year. Perhaps, investors can consider taking up a position, if one is optimistic of additional gains in the immediate term.
The daily slow-stochastic momentum index was positive, with the oscillator per cent K and the oscillator per cent D marching steadily towards the bullish territory.
Likewise, the 14-day relative strength index climbed from the mid-range earlier of the week to end at around the 83 points level yesterday.
Elsewhere, the daily moving average convergence/divergence histogram resumed the upward expansion against the daily trigger line to stay bullish. It flashed a buy in mid-September.
Technically, indicators suggest more scaling in the pipeline. If prices can penetrate the RM1.73-RM1.75 heavy resistance band, the next upside objective to look for would be the RM2-RM2.10 level.
Concrete support floor is pegged at the 14-day simple moving average of RM1.53.
Wednesday, October 6, 2010
Several parties eyeing Tanjong’s gaming business
KUALA LUMPUR: Several international private equity firms and a consortium led by the Cheng family have expressed keen interest to acquire Tanjong Plc’s gaming business although the company controlled by T. Ananda Krishnan is still weighing its options on whether or not to divest the prized asset valued at some RM2.3bil to RM2.5bil.
Sources said many parties had approached the company directly and via banks to express their interest to acquire the gaming assets, although Tanjong had not decided on the divestment route just yet.
“The company was just taken private. It obviously wants to expand the power business. Monetising any of its other assets, including gaming, is contingent on Tanjong’s plan to expand its power business,” said an industry source.
The other assets up for sale in the post-privatisation of Tanjong includes the cinema operation and its German Tropical Islands.
The combined value of those businesses is believed to be about RM2.8bil, which would give a sizeable boost to the cash reserves for Tanjong to expand into power operations.
Although talk on any sale of Tanjong’s numbers forecast operations (NFO) and racing totalisator (RTO) is said to be preliminary, reports indicate that interested parties valued those assets at RM2bil.
If a sale of the business, where gaming is the prized asset bidders are looking at, cannot be struck, then the company should be more than willing to continue leaning onto the unencumbered cashflow from the gaming business.
While divestment is an option for Tanjong, another would be to tie up with some other gaming-related party by partially selling its interest in the gaming business.
“No decision has yet to be made and, as such, talk of Tanjong selling gaming at this point is totally speculative,” a source said.
While no deal has been struck, it is learnt that negotiations for the gaming business of Tanjong have been taking place for months.
“There is a small gap in the valuation between what is offered and asked,” another source said.
One of the main reasons for the sale of the gaming assets of Tanjong is that the presence of those activities within the group prohibits the entry of investors wanting a syariah-compliant business.
In its circular to shareholders, Tanjong indicated that it wanted to tap the Middle East and North African markets together with those in South and South-East Asia to expand the power-generation business.
Owing to this, Tanjong needs to change its corporate structure, which would entail the sale of assets, to facilitate the expansion.
Tanjong’s gaming business would include the NFO, Big Sweep and RTO. The National Stud Farm, which makes a small profit, would also be bundled into the lot.
Tanjong’s gaming arm, Pan Malaysian Pools Sdn Bhd, reportedly has about 24% share of the local market. Berjaya Sports Toto Bhd’s market share is about 40% while Magnum Corp Bhd’s is 36%.
While the NFO business is the cash cow in the gaming business stable, Tanjong has been losing money from its racing operations.
According to reports, the losses from the RTO business could reach up to RM80mil in the current financial year.
The losses arise from a number of causes. It is said that the Selangor Turf Club is profitable but not those in Penang and Perak. Furthermore, the RTO business is hamstrung by annual cash payments to each of the three turf clubs.
Industry watchers said the business, which has been modernised somewhat with the introduction of telephone betting, was lagging behind the illegal business which could source bets from punters through the Internet.
This has proved to be a lucrative avenue for illegal bookies who are said to make around four times what the turf clubs can pull in on any racing day.
Any potential bidder also had to find favour with the gaming industry regulators and a gameplan to deal with the illegal bookies, said an industry watcher.
Foreign bidders will probably not be penalised in the bidding process if they pair up with a local partner with knowledge of the industry. Multi-Purpose Holdings Bhd in a partnership with CVC Asia Pacific Ltd completed the privatisation of Magnum in 2008.
Sources said many parties had approached the company directly and via banks to express their interest to acquire the gaming assets, although Tanjong had not decided on the divestment route just yet.
“The company was just taken private. It obviously wants to expand the power business. Monetising any of its other assets, including gaming, is contingent on Tanjong’s plan to expand its power business,” said an industry source.
The other assets up for sale in the post-privatisation of Tanjong includes the cinema operation and its German Tropical Islands.
The combined value of those businesses is believed to be about RM2.8bil, which would give a sizeable boost to the cash reserves for Tanjong to expand into power operations.
Although talk on any sale of Tanjong’s numbers forecast operations (NFO) and racing totalisator (RTO) is said to be preliminary, reports indicate that interested parties valued those assets at RM2bil.
If a sale of the business, where gaming is the prized asset bidders are looking at, cannot be struck, then the company should be more than willing to continue leaning onto the unencumbered cashflow from the gaming business.
While divestment is an option for Tanjong, another would be to tie up with some other gaming-related party by partially selling its interest in the gaming business.
“No decision has yet to be made and, as such, talk of Tanjong selling gaming at this point is totally speculative,” a source said.
While no deal has been struck, it is learnt that negotiations for the gaming business of Tanjong have been taking place for months.
“There is a small gap in the valuation between what is offered and asked,” another source said.
One of the main reasons for the sale of the gaming assets of Tanjong is that the presence of those activities within the group prohibits the entry of investors wanting a syariah-compliant business.
In its circular to shareholders, Tanjong indicated that it wanted to tap the Middle East and North African markets together with those in South and South-East Asia to expand the power-generation business.
Owing to this, Tanjong needs to change its corporate structure, which would entail the sale of assets, to facilitate the expansion.
Tanjong’s gaming business would include the NFO, Big Sweep and RTO. The National Stud Farm, which makes a small profit, would also be bundled into the lot.
Tanjong’s gaming arm, Pan Malaysian Pools Sdn Bhd, reportedly has about 24% share of the local market. Berjaya Sports Toto Bhd’s market share is about 40% while Magnum Corp Bhd’s is 36%.
While the NFO business is the cash cow in the gaming business stable, Tanjong has been losing money from its racing operations.
According to reports, the losses from the RTO business could reach up to RM80mil in the current financial year.
The losses arise from a number of causes. It is said that the Selangor Turf Club is profitable but not those in Penang and Perak. Furthermore, the RTO business is hamstrung by annual cash payments to each of the three turf clubs.
Industry watchers said the business, which has been modernised somewhat with the introduction of telephone betting, was lagging behind the illegal business which could source bets from punters through the Internet.
This has proved to be a lucrative avenue for illegal bookies who are said to make around four times what the turf clubs can pull in on any racing day.
Any potential bidder also had to find favour with the gaming industry regulators and a gameplan to deal with the illegal bookies, said an industry watcher.
Foreign bidders will probably not be penalised in the bidding process if they pair up with a local partner with knowledge of the industry. Multi-Purpose Holdings Bhd in a partnership with CVC Asia Pacific Ltd completed the privatisation of Magnum in 2008.
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Tomypak --- Trading idea
Johor-based Tomypak is the 2nd largest flexible packaging materials (FPM) manufacturing company in Malaysia with 25% market share, behind Daiboci’s 30-35%.
Tomypak’s major MNC customers include Nestle, Kraft and Unilever. MNCs currently contribute around 40-45% of the group’s revenue. Nestle is Tomypak’s largest MNC, supplying for the domestic, Philippine and South Africa markets. Other major customers include listed food companies like Mamee and Apollo Food.
Tomypak’s share split and bonus issue were ex on 1 Sep, raising its share base from 43m to 108.3m shares and should improve the stock’s trading liquidity.
After peaking at 52-week high of RM1.55 on 28 July, Tomypak has been undergoing a triangle consolidation. However, there are signs of impending breakout above DTL, supported by the MFI and MACD gaining strength. It seems that Tomypak has found its temporary low at RM1.20 following its share split and bonus issue and is still gyrating in an uptrend channel, indicating that the recovery trend is still intact.
We expect TOMYPAK to breach the DTL resistance around RM1.42 (76.4% FR from the top of RM1.55 and low of RM1) after undergoing a brief consolidation amid toppish slow stochastics. Upon further breakout, upside resistance are situated around RM1.55-1.65 zone. We see this as a low-risk buy but always put a stop below RM1.20.
Friday, September 3, 2010
PKNS owns 30% of AmanahRaya REIT
Dare: 3rd Sept 2010
§ The Selangor state investment arm will own 29.9% of AmanahRaya REIT after injection of 3 properties for new shares and acquisition of existing shares from major shareholder, KWB. With the completion of the deal, PKNS will be the second largest stakeholder of the REIT. (The Edge)
Based on this latest development we should pay attention to AmanahRaya REIT. Suitable for conservative investors to buy when there is weakness and keep it for yield.
§ The Selangor state investment arm will own 29.9% of AmanahRaya REIT after injection of 3 properties for new shares and acquisition of existing shares from major shareholder, KWB. With the completion of the deal, PKNS will be the second largest stakeholder of the REIT. (The Edge)
Based on this latest development we should pay attention to AmanahRaya REIT. Suitable for conservative investors to buy when there is weakness and keep it for yield.
Saturday, August 28, 2010
Watch out for MPHB by Lee Huong Sing
The above chart is for MPHB on 27th August 2010.
1. Note that the parallel channel has an up slope.
2. There is a high possibility that its price may move downwards to meet the lower channel line in the near future.
3. RSI is already <30 , indicating that it is oversold.
4. My guess is that, it will be a good buy entry if the price sinks below 2.05, of course the lower the better but need to place a stop loss if the price moves more than 5% away from the lower channel trend line.
5. Should the purchase be successfully executed, target it to be sold off when it moves back up to meet the upper channel.
Good luck
1. Note that the parallel channel has an up slope.
2. There is a high possibility that its price may move downwards to meet the lower channel line in the near future.
3. RSI is already <30 , indicating that it is oversold.
4. My guess is that, it will be a good buy entry if the price sinks below 2.05, of course the lower the better but need to place a stop loss if the price moves more than 5% away from the lower channel trend line.
5. Should the purchase be successfully executed, target it to be sold off when it moves back up to meet the upper channel.
Good luck
Thursday, August 26, 2010
HLeBroking Research on 27 August 2010
Despite the decoupling effects lately, persistent bearish economic data emerging from the US, deteriorating technical indicators and the lack of catalysts after the reporting season would dampen investors’ risks appetite.
With the Dow closing below 10k overnight and ahead of the crucial 2Q10 GDP revision and Aug consumer sentiment announcements tonight, the FBM KLCI will likely encounter stiff resistance to buck the Wall St and regional downtrends. This is despite anticipation of short term funds inflow due to the strengthening RM against the greenback and the safe haven status of Bursa Malaysia.
For FBM KLCI, immediate resistance levels are 1412 (50% FR from top 1524 and low of 1300) and 1438 (61.8% FR). Immediate support levels are at 1400, 1390 (10-d SMA) and 1375 (20-d SMA).
Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Top ten biggest market capitalisation stocks as at 24th August 2010
During a meaningful bull run, institutional investors will probably invest heavily in big cap stocks because of their high liquidity. In case the market decides to correct or should there be a change of trend it is easier to just sell of at least part of their holdings to take some cash off the table.
The FBMKLCI is now above 1400 and the average historical PE is above 15x which make the stocks even in the top 10 big cap no more a bargain. The high liquidity in the market place may provide some fuel for the fire of rally but it will burn out naturally in the course of time.
It will be a good and prudence to watch the market cap trend from now on, If the market cap starts to decline, it signals that the institutions are cashing out otherwise they still stay invested at the same level.
According to the past pattern, market will reach the end part of a bull run when the second and third lines come into play. Right now some second and third liners are not actively traded and their valuation such as PE is still low. Once these second and third liners start to move up strongly with volume it is probably a signal of the end of the current bull phase.
For now I think there is still some room for the market to trend upwards.
This is just my opinion. Comments are welcome
The FBMKLCI is now above 1400 and the average historical PE is above 15x which make the stocks even in the top 10 big cap no more a bargain. The high liquidity in the market place may provide some fuel for the fire of rally but it will burn out naturally in the course of time.
It will be a good and prudence to watch the market cap trend from now on, If the market cap starts to decline, it signals that the institutions are cashing out otherwise they still stay invested at the same level.
According to the past pattern, market will reach the end part of a bull run when the second and third lines come into play. Right now some second and third liners are not actively traded and their valuation such as PE is still low. Once these second and third liners start to move up strongly with volume it is probably a signal of the end of the current bull phase.
For now I think there is still some room for the market to trend upwards.
This is just my opinion. Comments are welcome
Thursday, August 12, 2010
DXN Holdings Bhd (13 Aug 2010)
DXN had a major breakout above the DTL channel of RM0.60 in 2009 and later surpassed the neckline resistance of RM0.78 following the robust 1QFY11 results release on 28 July. DXN’s share price closed at 6-year high of RM0.91 yesterday and are marching steadily towards the upper UTL channel of RM1.00.
A breakout above RM1.00 will signal more upside to the significant neckline resistance level of RM1.10, followed by historical high of RM1.30 (30 Sep 03). The upside is also supported by a bullish crossover of the 50-d SMA above the 100-d SMA.
However, as share price already surged 26% since 28 July, we anticipate profit taking activities amid the overbought momentum readings. Strong support can be found at RM0.88 (38.2% FR from historical high/low of RM1.30 and RM0.20), RM0.85 (5-d SMA) and RM0.81 (10-d SMA). Our cut-loss point is pegged at below RM0.80.
ACCUMUALTE around RM0.85-0.88 levels, with a 6-month technical target of RM1.36, implying 8.2x (about 25% discount to industry P/E of 10.9x) on 16.6sen FY11 EPS.
From :HLeBroking Research
A breakout above RM1.00 will signal more upside to the significant neckline resistance level of RM1.10, followed by historical high of RM1.30 (30 Sep 03). The upside is also supported by a bullish crossover of the 50-d SMA above the 100-d SMA.
However, as share price already surged 26% since 28 July, we anticipate profit taking activities amid the overbought momentum readings. Strong support can be found at RM0.88 (38.2% FR from historical high/low of RM1.30 and RM0.20), RM0.85 (5-d SMA) and RM0.81 (10-d SMA). Our cut-loss point is pegged at below RM0.80.
ACCUMUALTE around RM0.85-0.88 levels, with a 6-month technical target of RM1.36, implying 8.2x (about 25% discount to industry P/E of 10.9x) on 16.6sen FY11 EPS.
From :HLeBroking Research
Sunday, August 1, 2010
Trading Idea : TDM Bhd (02 Aug 2010)
As 1QFY10 net profit already achieved 36% of FY09’s earnings, TDM’s FY10 earnings is expected to perform better, thanks the higher average CPO price of between RM2500-RM2,600/MT (vs RM2237/MT in 2009), buoyed by forecast of higher global vegetable oil consumption, weather abnormalities and rising soy bean prices. Moreover, its healthcare business is expected to provide further catalysts due to the resilient industry.
TDM’s mid-term uptrend remains firmly intact following the breakout above the downtrend line (DTL) and violating the neckline resistance levels. However, after surging 24% in July to a 10-year high of RM,2.27 on 26 July, TDM share prices could take a breather before marching to our 6-month technical target of RM2.75 due to the overbought technical readings.
In anticipation of a forthcoming healthy correction, investors may consider accumulating the shares around RM2.05-2.15 zone. Our cut-loss point is pegged at below RM2.05 (50% FR from low of RM1.82 to high of RM2.27).
Posted by HLeBroking Research
TDM’s mid-term uptrend remains firmly intact following the breakout above the downtrend line (DTL) and violating the neckline resistance levels. However, after surging 24% in July to a 10-year high of RM,2.27 on 26 July, TDM share prices could take a breather before marching to our 6-month technical target of RM2.75 due to the overbought technical readings.
In anticipation of a forthcoming healthy correction, investors may consider accumulating the shares around RM2.05-2.15 zone. Our cut-loss point is pegged at below RM2.05 (50% FR from low of RM1.82 to high of RM2.27).
Posted by HLeBroking Research
Saturday, July 24, 2010
Retail investors chase penny stocks
The buying interest in penny stocks is driven by growing retail confidence and investors who shift their focus away from blue chips, says a head of research
Retail investors are flocking back to the market, boosting interest in penny stocks, said brokers and analysts.
Penny stocks are quoted securities, trading below the RM1.00 mark. They are seen as studs in a bull market, as retailers clamour for action, at the lowest possible cost.
"I think the buying interest in penny stocks are driven by various factors, but the two main ones would be growing retail confidence and investors who shift their focus away from blue chips," said Jupiter Securities' head of research Pong Teng Siew.
Interest in penny stocks are mainly driven by retail investors' confidence, added participation of day traders, speculators and willingness by brokerages to provide margins.
Pong added that frequent sharp upward swings in prices of many penny stocks are providing the main thrust for retailers at the moment,
OSK Investment Bank head of research Chris Eng said some of the gains made by penny stocks could be explained.
"We have a few companies that were out of the PN17 list, so that have sparked some buying interest," said Eng.
Eng also noticed a trend among traders zeroing on small consumer stocks, mostly companies in the food and retail business.
"You can see buying interest in companies like Farms Best Bhd, Spritzer Bhd, Hwa Tai Bhd and Hup Seng Bhd," he added.
Indeed, for the past six trading days, penny stocks have dominated the most actively traded securities list, with 14 of them being on the top 20.
On the converse, there was only an average of 11.8 stocks on the list in the first two weeks of this month.
"Business has been improving lately," said a remisier from a local stock broking firm, attributing it to the rise in orders made by retail investors.
Retail participation, as a percentage of the total trades done, has been declining, falling to 27 per cent in the first half of the year compared with 37 per cen in the same period a year ago.
Pong sees the rise of retail participation as a positive sign for a sustained market uptrend.
"I believe we can see the market touching a new high soon, probably as soon as next week," he said.
CIMB Investment Bank Bhd said early this week that the benchmark stock index may surpass levels before the start of the global financial meltdown in 2008, to climb to 1,450 by the year-end.
However, some analysts are not biting the bait just yet, pointing to a Bloomberg data this week, which showed that "buy" calls on Malaysian stocks slumped to a decade-low of 39.38 per cent this month.
Read more: Retail investors chase penny stocks http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIMES/articles/pennt22a/Article/index_html#ixzz0ucLBAbxl
My comment:
Best time to sell your speculative socks is when retailers are bullish
Retail investors are flocking back to the market, boosting interest in penny stocks, said brokers and analysts.
Penny stocks are quoted securities, trading below the RM1.00 mark. They are seen as studs in a bull market, as retailers clamour for action, at the lowest possible cost.
"I think the buying interest in penny stocks are driven by various factors, but the two main ones would be growing retail confidence and investors who shift their focus away from blue chips," said Jupiter Securities' head of research Pong Teng Siew.
Interest in penny stocks are mainly driven by retail investors' confidence, added participation of day traders, speculators and willingness by brokerages to provide margins.
Pong added that frequent sharp upward swings in prices of many penny stocks are providing the main thrust for retailers at the moment,
OSK Investment Bank head of research Chris Eng said some of the gains made by penny stocks could be explained.
"We have a few companies that were out of the PN17 list, so that have sparked some buying interest," said Eng.
Eng also noticed a trend among traders zeroing on small consumer stocks, mostly companies in the food and retail business.
"You can see buying interest in companies like Farms Best Bhd, Spritzer Bhd, Hwa Tai Bhd and Hup Seng Bhd," he added.
Indeed, for the past six trading days, penny stocks have dominated the most actively traded securities list, with 14 of them being on the top 20.
On the converse, there was only an average of 11.8 stocks on the list in the first two weeks of this month.
"Business has been improving lately," said a remisier from a local stock broking firm, attributing it to the rise in orders made by retail investors.
Retail participation, as a percentage of the total trades done, has been declining, falling to 27 per cent in the first half of the year compared with 37 per cen in the same period a year ago.
Pong sees the rise of retail participation as a positive sign for a sustained market uptrend.
"I believe we can see the market touching a new high soon, probably as soon as next week," he said.
CIMB Investment Bank Bhd said early this week that the benchmark stock index may surpass levels before the start of the global financial meltdown in 2008, to climb to 1,450 by the year-end.
However, some analysts are not biting the bait just yet, pointing to a Bloomberg data this week, which showed that "buy" calls on Malaysian stocks slumped to a decade-low of 39.38 per cent this month.
Read more: Retail investors chase penny stocks http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIMES/articles/pennt22a/Article/index_html#ixzz0ucLBAbxl
My comment:
Best time to sell your speculative socks is when retailers are bullish
Wednesday, July 21, 2010
How to Front-run the Chinese, Legally By Brian Hicks | Wednesday, July 21st, 2010
"The 19th century was the century of the UK, the 20th century was the century of the US, the 21st century is going to be the century of China." — Jim Rogers
"China is going to be an enormous force that will make the Japanese threats of the seventies and eighties look like a water pistol." — former CE CEO, Jack Welch, 2001
Dear reader:
According to British author and soldier Sir John Bagot Glubb’s book The Fate of Empires, the seven stages of an empire’s life cycle are as follows:
1. The age of outburst (or pioneers)
2. The age of conquests
3. The age of commerce
4. The age of affluence
5. The age of intellect
6. The age of decadence
7. The age of decline and collapse
It’s not hard to figure out where the United States stands in this life cycle.
We just experienced the greatest housing and credit bubble in history… when homeless people were given mortgages.
We’re also experiencing epidemics in obesity, heart disease, and debt.
The U.S. finds itself in stage #6: decadence.
That’s right, we’re in decadence. At what phase of decadence, I’m not sure...
But decadence will soon turn to decline… if we haven’t already fallen off the cliff.
Nothing proves this point more than the following chart from the International Energy Agency (IEA) that shows that China now consumes more energy than America:
You can draw a circle around where the two lines intersect and write “Historic!”
This chart represents an epic shift in global power, both economically and politically.
Wall Street Journal broke the story on July 18th:
China's ascent marks "a new age in the history of energy," IEA chief economist Fatih Birol said in an interview. The country's surging appetite has transformed global energy markets and propped up prices of oil and coal in recent years, and its continued growth stands to have long-term implications for U.S. energy security.
The Paris-based IEA, energy adviser to most of the world's biggest economies, said China consumed 2.252 billion tons of oil equivalent last year, about 4% more than the U.S., which burned through 2.170 billion tons of oil equivalent. The oil-equivalent metric represents all forms of energy consumed, including crude oil, nuclear power, coal, natural gas and renewable sources such as hydropower.
For many energy and China observers, this wasn’t a surprise — although it occurred much sooner than expected.
But, dear reader, this is a mega-trend that will continue for decades.
And the investment potential is mind-blowing.
You see, later in the WSJ piece…
Mr. Birol, previously an economist at the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, said China is expected to build over the next 15 years some 1,000 gigawatts of new power-generation capacity. That is about the total amount of electricity-generation capacity in the U.S. currently, and the construction of all those gigawatts occurred over several decades. "This demonstrates the major growth we are talking about" in energy demand and capacity growth in China.
Now, China has been all over the world inking deals with oil sand firms in Canada, resource rights in Africa, Australia… and Mongolia.
They’ve been doing this for years. This is not new.
They’ve also been hoarding resources to supply their infrastructure build-out for years to come.
This brings me to the point of this article.
If you know what resources the Chinese will need to maintain their rising energy consumption, you can buy now, sit on the investment… and let the Chinese buy you out.
Chris DeHaemer has already shown you how to front-run the Chinese. He’s done this with a Mongolian gold stock and Mongolian oil.
In fact his latest home run — a Mongolian oil stock — has rallied over 700% this year alone. His readers are making money hand-over-fist.
And that’s just the beginning...
Imagine buying Suncor Energy (one of Canada’s largest oil sands companies) when it went public in 1993 for just a $1.08 per share!
Today Suncor trades for $33… a gain of 2,900%.
That’s what you’re looking at with Chris’s Mongolian oil play.
Mongolia is in an ideal situation. It borders a nation with a voracious appetite for resources… coal, oil, natural gas, etc.
Think about it like this...
Canada is a resource-based economy. Its GDP for 2009 was $1.287 trillion. Canada is in an ideal position because its neighbor to the south still has the #1 economy in the world. So, Canada essentially ships all of its resource production to the U.S.
Now look at Mongolia. It’s also a resource-rich nation. It too has a huge neighbor that needs its resources — China.
And the thing about China is that it appears to be in stages 2 to 4 in the empire life cycle.
China has more millionaires now than the UK and France.
And like energy, it’s only a matter of time before China’s overtakes America in that economic category as well.
Profitably yours,
Brian Hicks
"China is going to be an enormous force that will make the Japanese threats of the seventies and eighties look like a water pistol." — former CE CEO, Jack Welch, 2001
Dear reader:
According to British author and soldier Sir John Bagot Glubb’s book The Fate of Empires, the seven stages of an empire’s life cycle are as follows:
1. The age of outburst (or pioneers)
2. The age of conquests
3. The age of commerce
4. The age of affluence
5. The age of intellect
6. The age of decadence
7. The age of decline and collapse
It’s not hard to figure out where the United States stands in this life cycle.
We just experienced the greatest housing and credit bubble in history… when homeless people were given mortgages.
We’re also experiencing epidemics in obesity, heart disease, and debt.
The U.S. finds itself in stage #6: decadence.
That’s right, we’re in decadence. At what phase of decadence, I’m not sure...
But decadence will soon turn to decline… if we haven’t already fallen off the cliff.
Nothing proves this point more than the following chart from the International Energy Agency (IEA) that shows that China now consumes more energy than America:
You can draw a circle around where the two lines intersect and write “Historic!”
This chart represents an epic shift in global power, both economically and politically.
Wall Street Journal broke the story on July 18th:
China's ascent marks "a new age in the history of energy," IEA chief economist Fatih Birol said in an interview. The country's surging appetite has transformed global energy markets and propped up prices of oil and coal in recent years, and its continued growth stands to have long-term implications for U.S. energy security.
The Paris-based IEA, energy adviser to most of the world's biggest economies, said China consumed 2.252 billion tons of oil equivalent last year, about 4% more than the U.S., which burned through 2.170 billion tons of oil equivalent. The oil-equivalent metric represents all forms of energy consumed, including crude oil, nuclear power, coal, natural gas and renewable sources such as hydropower.
For many energy and China observers, this wasn’t a surprise — although it occurred much sooner than expected.
But, dear reader, this is a mega-trend that will continue for decades.
And the investment potential is mind-blowing.
You see, later in the WSJ piece…
Mr. Birol, previously an economist at the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, said China is expected to build over the next 15 years some 1,000 gigawatts of new power-generation capacity. That is about the total amount of electricity-generation capacity in the U.S. currently, and the construction of all those gigawatts occurred over several decades. "This demonstrates the major growth we are talking about" in energy demand and capacity growth in China.
Now, China has been all over the world inking deals with oil sand firms in Canada, resource rights in Africa, Australia… and Mongolia.
They’ve been doing this for years. This is not new.
They’ve also been hoarding resources to supply their infrastructure build-out for years to come.
This brings me to the point of this article.
If you know what resources the Chinese will need to maintain their rising energy consumption, you can buy now, sit on the investment… and let the Chinese buy you out.
Chris DeHaemer has already shown you how to front-run the Chinese. He’s done this with a Mongolian gold stock and Mongolian oil.
In fact his latest home run — a Mongolian oil stock — has rallied over 700% this year alone. His readers are making money hand-over-fist.
And that’s just the beginning...
Imagine buying Suncor Energy (one of Canada’s largest oil sands companies) when it went public in 1993 for just a $1.08 per share!
Today Suncor trades for $33… a gain of 2,900%.
That’s what you’re looking at with Chris’s Mongolian oil play.
Mongolia is in an ideal situation. It borders a nation with a voracious appetite for resources… coal, oil, natural gas, etc.
Think about it like this...
Canada is a resource-based economy. Its GDP for 2009 was $1.287 trillion. Canada is in an ideal position because its neighbor to the south still has the #1 economy in the world. So, Canada essentially ships all of its resource production to the U.S.
Now look at Mongolia. It’s also a resource-rich nation. It too has a huge neighbor that needs its resources — China.
And the thing about China is that it appears to be in stages 2 to 4 in the empire life cycle.
China has more millionaires now than the UK and France.
And like energy, it’s only a matter of time before China’s overtakes America in that economic category as well.
Profitably yours,
Brian Hicks
Bernanke slams U.S. economy!
Bernanke on jobs:
"This is the worst labor market since the Great Depression."
Bernanke on housing:
"The market remains weak, with the overhang of vacant or foreclosed houses weighing on home prices and construction."
Bernanke on fears about the future:
"Most ... viewed uncertainty about the outlook for growth and unemployment as greater than normal, and the majority saw the risks to growth as weighted to the downside."
Bernanke on tight credit for small businesses:
"Bank loans outstanding have continued to contract. Small businesses, which depend importantly on bank credit, have been particularly hard hit."
And never forget: All this is coming from a man whose job invariably makes him extremely reluctant to admit to negative trends in any sector at any time — if Bernanke is saying things are bad, you can bet your bottom dollar they're actually far worse.
"This is the worst labor market since the Great Depression."
Bernanke on housing:
"The market remains weak, with the overhang of vacant or foreclosed houses weighing on home prices and construction."
Bernanke on fears about the future:
"Most ... viewed uncertainty about the outlook for growth and unemployment as greater than normal, and the majority saw the risks to growth as weighted to the downside."
Bernanke on tight credit for small businesses:
"Bank loans outstanding have continued to contract. Small businesses, which depend importantly on bank credit, have been particularly hard hit."
And never forget: All this is coming from a man whose job invariably makes him extremely reluctant to admit to negative trends in any sector at any time — if Bernanke is saying things are bad, you can bet your bottom dollar they're actually far worse.
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