Warren Buffett Tells You How to Handle a Market Crash
Are you starting to panic? Heed the advice of the Oracle of Omaha.
Warren Buffett has never been shy about packing lessons for
successful investing into his annual letter to shareholders. That letter
is a treasure-trove of insight, presented in a folksy manner that is
not only easy to read but incredibly entertaining.
With the market tumbling we’re all likely in need of a few doses of
Warren’s unpretentious advice, so I dug through his past shareholder
letters to find some gems that may help us navigate the current market
drop and build a bigger nest egg for retirement.
1. “It’s better to have a partial interest in the Hope diamond than to own all of a rhinestone,” wrote Buffett in 2013.
Buffett is always hunting for great companies that he can buy for
Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, but if he can’t buy the whole company,
he’s OK with owning a smaller piece of it instead. Applying this advice
to our own investments means spending less time considering how many
shares of a company we can buy and more time figuring out where we
believe the company will be in ten years. Doing that will help us avoid
the pitfall of foregoing investments in great companies like Amazon
AMZN0.4536%) or Priceline
PCLN0.6803% when they’re on sale to buy lower quality companies with smaller share prices.
2. “A ‘normal year,’ of course, is not something that either Charlie
Munger, Vice Chairman of Berkshire and my partner, or I can define with
anything like precision,” wrote Buffet in 2010.
Sure,
the average annual return for the S&P 500 has been 8.14% over the
past decade, but assuming that will be our return this year, next year,
or any year is folly. Returns are volatile and will continue to be
volatile, so we should focus less on the returns for any one period of
time and instead focus on buying great companies and socking them away.
Consider this point: While the S&P 500 has experienced plenty of
fits-and-starts over the past 10 years, those who have owned it all
along are up 103%.
3. “Long ago, Charlie laid out his strongest ambition: ‘All I want
to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there,'” wrote
Buffett in 2009.
Buffett
avoids businesses whose future he can’t evaluate. Instead, he focuses
on finding businesses that offer a predictable profit for decades to
come. Taking the long-haul approach to finding great companies goes far
beyond identifying the next big thing — after all, during the Internet
boom there were plenty of Internet companies that soared on expectations
rather than profit, and many of those companies have since gone
bankrupt. Instead, we should be investing in companies we can understand
that are likely to remain winners.
4. “We will never become dependent on the kindness of strangers. Too-big-to-fail is not a fallback,” wrote Buffett in 2009.
Warren’s
cash stockpile is a thing of legend, and while that cash hoard holds
back his returns in periods of growth, it also protects him when markets
turn sour. Importantly, it also gives him the financial flexibility to
take action and buy when prices are right. That plan-ahead mentality is
something every investor can embrace by making sure there’s always some
dry-powder around to deploy during the market’s inevitable declines.
5. “We would rather suffer the visible costs of a few bad decisions
than incur the many invisible costs that come from decisions made too
slowly — or not at all — because of a stifling bureaucracy,” wrote
Buffett in 2009.
Buffett doesn’t hesitant when he’s presented with an idea that hits
the mark. He recognizes that he won’t be right every time, but he also
believes that taking action is critical to realizing the potential of an
opportunity. As investors, we can emulate Buffett’s approach by making
sure that once we’ve done our due diligence and picked our favorite
investments we take action and buy, regardless of the market’s
short-term machinations.
6. “Unlike many business buyers, Berkshire has no ‘exit strategy.’
We buy to keep. We do, though, have an entrance strategy, looking for
businesses in this country or abroad…available at a price that will
produce a reasonable return. If you have a business that fits, give me a
call. Like a hopeful teenage girl, I’ll be waiting by the phone,” wrote
Buffett in 2005.
Buffett keeps strictly to his investment discipline, but he also
keeps an open mind to great ideas that fit into his strategy. Those
ideas can come from various places. His acquisition of Clayton Homes,
for example, was sparked by an autobiography of Clayton’s founder Jim
Clayton which had been given to him as a gift by some University of
Tennessee students. Keeping open to opportunities, regardless of their
origin, may help us find worthwhile investments for the long term, too.
7. “Investors should remember that excitement and expenses are their
enemies. And if they insist on trying to time their participation in
equities, they should try to be fearful when others are greedy and
greedy only when others are fearful,” wrote Buffett in 2004.
Buffett knows that emotion is a dangerous weapon that, if used
incorrectly, can result in significant loss — and, if used correctly,
can result in significant gain. Emotional reactions to surging or
descending markets can make people buy when they should sell and sell
when they should buy. Buffett often compares taking advantage of market
slides to shopping for groceries. Last week on CNBC he summed it up by
saying, “If you’re buying groceries, you like it when prices go down
next week. And you like it if they go down further the next week.” Just
as we like getting a good deal on the items at the grocery store we
would be buying anyway, we should also be fans of getting a good deal on
our favorite companies.
Following in Buffett’s footsteps
Buffett has no idea whether he’ll outperform the S&P 500 over the
next year, but he does know that Berkshire Hathaway’s book value has
grown a compounded annual 19.7% over the past 49 years. Similarly, we
don’t know if our investments will outperform the market daily, weekly,
or yearly, either. What we can feel pretty good about is the knowledge
that investing in great companies like Coca Cola
KO-1.0438% and Wells Fargo
WFC-3.2271% — two companies that are long-standing Buffett holdings — may help put us on a path to a less-worrisome retirement.
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